Russian analyst predicts decline and breakup of U.S.

24/11/2008 19:31 MOSCOW, November 24 (RIA Novosti) - A leading Russian political analyst has said the economic turmoil in the United States has confirmed his long-held view that the country is heading for collapse, and will divide into separate parts.

Professor Igor Panarin said in an interview with the respected daily Izvestia published on Monday: "The dollar is not secured by anything. The country's foreign debt has grown like an avalanche, even though in the early 1980s there was no debt. By 1998, when I first made my prediction, it had exceeded $2 trillion. Now it is more than 11 trillion. This is a pyramid that can only collapse."

The paper said Panarin's dire predictions for the U.S. economy, initially made at an international conference in Australia 10 years ago at a time when the economy appeared strong, have been given more credence by this year's events.

When asked when the U.S. economy would collapse, Panarin said: "It is already collapsing. Due to the financial crisis, three of the largest and oldest five banks on Wall Street have already ceased to exist, and two are barely surviving. Their losses are the biggest in history. Now what we will see is a change in the regulatory system on a global financial scale: America will no longer be the world's financial regulator."

When asked who would replace the U.S. in regulating world markets, he said: "Two countries could assume this role: China, with its vast reserves, and Russia, which could play the role of a regulator in Eurasia."

Asked why he expected the U.S. to break up into separate parts, he said: "A whole range of reasons. Firstly, the financial problems in the U.S. will get worse. Millions of citizens there have lost their savings. Prices and unemployment are on the rise. General Motors and Ford are on the verge of collapse, and this means that whole cities will be left without work. Governors are already insistently demanding money from the federal center. Dissatisfaction is growing, and at the moment it is only being held back by the elections and the hope that Obama can work miracles. But by spring, it will be clear that there are no miracles."

He also cited the "vulnerable political setup", "lack of unified national laws", and "divisions among the elite, which have become clear in these crisis conditions."

He predicted that the U.S. will break up into six parts - the Pacific coast, with its growing Chinese population; the South, with its Hispanics; Texas, where independence movements are on the rise; the Atlantic coast, with its distinct and separate mentality; five of the poorer central states with their large Native American populations; and the northern states, where the influence from Canada is strong.

He even suggested that "we could claim Alaska - it was only granted on lease, after all."

On the fate of the U.S. dollar, he said: "In 2006 a secret agreement was reached between Canada, Mexico and the U.S. on a common Amero currency as a new monetary unit. This could signal preparations to replace the dollar. The one-hundred dollar bills that have flooded the world could be simply frozen. Under the pretext, let's say, that terrorists are forging them and they need to be checked."

When asked how Russia should react to his vision of the future, Panarin said: "Develop the ruble as a regional currency. Create a fully functioning oil exchange, trading in rubles... We must break the strings tying us to the financial Titanic, which in my view will soon sink."

Panarin, 60, is a professor at the Diplomatic Academy of the Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, and has authored several books on information warfare.

a sta ce da radi rusija sa svojim dev.rezervama koje su u dolarima? a kina?
ima samo da predju preko toga? propale nam dev.rezerve; sta nas briga kad je propala i amerika!    nije to bas tako!
a i podela amerike mu je do jaja! rastuca kineska populacija na pacifiku, pa latinosa ima barem deset puta vise na pac. obali nego kineza.
rimsko carstvo je propadalo ceo milenijum!
jak neki profesor!
podseca me na Kostu Cavoskog koji ne zna sta su Kajmanska ostrva!

Budala.

Није ово једино "предсказање". Пренео сам и мишљење једног нашег човека, нећу рећи стручњака, јер није ми познат, које је било у НИН-у, објављено писмо.
Могуће је да се тако нешто деси. Извесност или вероватноћа догађаја - не бих улазио у то.
Подсећам да је после ОНЕ депресије дошло до великих догађаја - нацисти на власти у Немачкој, Други светски рат и Хладни рат... Према томе, или нечему што би сада могло да се догоди - распад једне државе може бити смешан. Све је то теорија хаоса или ти ефекат лептира - у веома нестабилном систему мале промене могу да доведу до жестоких последица.

Кажем ја да Хрвати имају другачије виђење догађаја у свету. И не знам што онда то некима од њих толико смета
И да, хвала што ме рекламираш... Са твојим потписом са сигурно готиван неким патриотама, које могу да виде сајт на мом профилу

Kad će prestati da me prepisuju ovi etablirani mangaši.

ovo se Lav Geršman vratio u Rusiju

А јес вала, и мене су више пута тако покрали
Не причам ли ја одавно о пропасти оних преко баре


Хоћеш да кажеш да је Римско царство пропадало од 525 В.С.
Не бих рекао, тада је Рим био само село под управом етрурских краљева, а по теби испада да је већ тада било империја која пропада, као данашња Америка

Rimsko carstvo je propalo 1453. AD. Što znači da je drug plimut u pravu.

U pravu je Orvel kad kaže postoje tri sile Evroazija, Istazija i Okeanija i one se samo međusobno preorijentišu u nove kombinacije i saveze.

ОК, нека пропадне садашње западно царство (Америка), а источно (Кина) нека живи још хиљаду година.
Немам ништа против